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Concerns over China's rapidly evolving high-end military capabilities have hit a crescendo in recent weeks.
the test of a fractional orbital bombardment-like system,
the emergence of a two-seat J-20 and carrier-capable FC-31 derivative — both stealth fighters
Tailless Fighter-Like Airframe Spotted At Chinese Jet Manufacturer's Test Airfield
the discovery of massive moving targets in China's vast desert expanse that emulate American warships
are just some the developments that have grabbed headlines as of late. Even more recently,
Many of these revelations came via the use of satellite imagery.
niche of just a few of us OSINT (Open Source Intelligence)-focused reporters
China's apparent use of two E-3 Sentry Airborne Warning And Control System (AWACS) mockups on its impact range used for testing advanced missile technology.
Images obtained from Planet Labs (seen at the top of this article) dated Aug. 28, 2021,
show two full-size E-3 mockups sitting on the main runway-like target that is part of one of the most well-established weapons testing range complexes in China's Gobi Desert.
It's the same area that saw the emergence of ship and pier-like shapes used for ballistic missile development in the last decade and a half.
After we found the E-3 mockups, we searched to see how long they had been there.
It isn't clear how long the mock Sentry has been there, but based on our review of low-resolution satellite imagery, it is likely a number of years, with the second one arriving much more recently.
Nobody does full-scale mockups of potential foes' infrastructure and assets like China.
Their largest base is used for high-fidelity training and includes a full-scale representation of Taiwan's Presidential Office Building
They have done the same with target airfields that perfectly match those in Taiwan,
The inclusion specifically of the E-3 Sentry on one of China's primary impact targets in the Gobi Desert makes total sense.
E-3s would be among the highest priority targets for Chinese long-range missiles, and especially for its ever-evolving standoff missile capabilities. The best way to kill any aircraft during a conflict is on the ground.
The E-3s — just 31 of which are in the USAF's inventory — are massive force multipliers.
They underpin America's tactical air combat strategy and work as critical command-and-control and surveillance nodes and enablers for tactical airpower.
Destroying the E-3s, and other lumbering support assets, would go a long way toward neutering American advantages in air-to-air combat and situational awareness over the battlefield.
With this in mind, China has developed a heavy stealth fighter and very long-range air-to-air missiles to help execute such a strategy in the air, but killing U.S. aircraft before they can even get off the ground remains the best course of action.
This would be a top priority for the PLA's missile units during the opening stages of an actual shooting war.
The same can be said for other critical, high-value, low-density support assets, some of which, like the E-8 JSTARS and RC-135 family of aircraft, are also based on the 707 and its military cousin, the C-135.
In fact, China itself is a true believer in the AWACS concept. It has poured huge sums of money into developing a remarkable range of airborne early warning types. They are more plentiful than U.S. stocks and many are smaller than their American counterparts, using turboprop propulsion that can allow them to operate out of smaller airfields. So, it's pretty clear just how much China respects this capability and thus would want to kill it to any extent possible during a conflict with the United States.
What is arguably China's top U.S. target along the First Island Chain, the sprawling Kadena Air Base on Okinawa, also permanently hosts E-3s. During any major kinetic exchange between the U.S. and China, Kadena would be showered with ballistic missiles and even cruise missiles.
The thing is, China is fully aware of where the E-3s and other strategic assets are traditionally parked at Kadena, as well as other assets on other bases of interest. That could change during a crisis in hopes of fouling-up fixed target attacks. Thus, China has to develop and adapt its own kill chain to overcome those countermeasures.